CONTENTS
1) The
price of American currency unit
2) The World stock market
3) The Frauds of the U.S. Federal Reserve System
4) Movement of world finance
5) Structure of GDP and structure of employment
6) Export and import
7) Gold of contention
5) Structure of GDP and structure of employment
Quantitatively expressed power and invincibility of dollar is discrediting
by the fact that structure of American and any other industrially developed
economy becomes in growing extent parasitic.
Here we have some figures describing inferior character of those advanced
economies, in particular, GDP and employment structure in some of them.
Table 12. Structure of employment and GDP of the
USA, Germany and Austria, 1998 (%)
1998 |
USA |
Germany |
Austria |
Structure of GDP: |
|
|
|
Material production |
25,40% |
35,80% |
35,70% |
Infrastructure |
39,50% |
31,30% |
33,10% |
Non-material production |
35,10% |
32,80% |
31,20% |
Structure of GDP: |
|
|
|
Material production |
23,30% |
32,00% |
29,20% |
Infrastructure |
43,70% |
46,70% |
45,70% |
Non-material production |
33,00% |
21,30% |
25,10% |
Source: Yearbook of Labor Statistics 1999. ILO: Geneva,
1999; Yearbook of Labor Statistics 2000. ILO: Geneva, 2000.
It is visible that share of employed in material production as well as
specific gravity of material production in GDP structure of these nations
is fluctuating within the limits from 25 to 35%. For more cogency we should
add dynamics of material sector of the most leading economy – USA – for
the last fifty years. Number of workforce employed in production of goods
(not services) is permanently diminishing.
Table 13. Dynamics of employment and material production
share in U.S. GDP: 1950-1998 (%)
|
1950 |
1960 |
1970 |
1980 |
1998 |
Employment in material sector (MP) |
48,00% |
43,30% |
38,10% |
31,10% |
25,39% |
Share of MP in GDP structure |
44,10% |
39,70% |
35,00% |
33,10% |
23,30% |
Calculated by: «The Handbook of Basic Economic Statistics»,
May 1983, p.12-17; Statistical Abstracts of the United States, 1996. Wash.,
1996, p.443.
Apparently, the share of material sector production in USA GDP structure
is permanently decreasing. The United States becoming economy of service
of its global bank and finance networks. How could dollar be strong and
reliable currency, secured by fixed assets, by tangible commodity mass?
There we got one more reason for unrest about stability of world finances
because U.S. dollar remains the pivot of world finances. The worst thing
is that diminishing of material production share in GDP structure is a
characteristic feature of all developed countries. In most these countries
it forms less than 30%. The lack of physical commodity mass especially
product of primary sectors (agriculture, mining) is compensating by poor
countries that are permanently fall behind in machinery and technology
Let's take dynamic of material sector part of Latin America nations for
last fifty years to compare with each other.
Table 14. Dynamics of material production share
in GDP structure of some Latin America countries: 1950-1998 (%)
|
1960 |
1970 |
1980 |
1998 |
Argentina |
47,5% |
49,5% |
48,3% |
30,2% |
Brazil |
48,5% |
45,0% |
45,3% |
39,6% |
Chile |
50,1% |
51,0% |
47,4% |
35,5% |
Paraguay |
56,8% |
54,7% |
54,9% |
47,1% |
Peru |
58,0% |
51,8% |
46,3% |
55,0% |
Venezuela |
54,8% |
45,6% |
36,7% |
36,8% |
At first sight it may seems that these countries have the same tendency
as developed ones. Don't hurry with conclusions. The price for products
with unsound reprocessing that is mainly produced by third world countries
is growing not so fast as high-technology products. That is why we face
with growth of absolute volume of production (in tons, cubic meters, pieces)
while price for this production is relatively falling down (in comparison
with 'hi-tech' commodities). Local production is calculated in national
currency. And all national currencies continuously falling down against
U.S. dollar.
So we may see as material sector product (in physical volume) is growing,
while in 'dollar volume' it is declining. It is going in parallel with
growing volume of outlays on infrastructural sectors and non-material
sectors in the price composition of gross domestic product. It is clear
that functioning of infrastructure sectors is carrying out according average
world prices and tariffs which have being dictated by developed countries
(as long as all Networks are Global).
It appears to be poor countries catching up rich ones in terms of price
structure of GDP. But in reality they are falling behind more and more.
This can be explained by impossibility to cover "shortage" of
material sector in their economies, since the prices of infrastructure
sectors are constantly increasing and due to the lack of resources available.
Hence, poor countries are urged to magnify governmental debt, internal
and external, to overlay the scarcity of means to repay services of non-material
sectors. There emerges a "price scissors".
Conclusion is following – financial exploitation of the third world takes
place through:
a) The «price scissors» between product of primary sectors (agriculture,
mining and preliminary manufacturing in less developed countries) and
product of industrial countries;
b) unequal position of all world currencies toward the "basket"
of leading industrial nations currencies, as well as toward SDR (special
exchange of IMF).
When we put together these factors it is aggravate our concern about sharpening
contradictions between developed and developing worlds. As if the struggle
between world capitalist and world worker had shifted from intra-nation
fighting to inter-nation or even inter-region battle, battle between poor
and wealthy regions.
World capital regularly uses this circumstance for its lucre pushing ethnic
and religious confrontation instead of self-apparent class struggle. Just
to secure this instability and false target for struggle capital sells
to any side involved arms and ammo. It is the situation, which takes place
now. Disjoined laborers of the entire world battering each other for nothing
just to protect their own national bourgeois masters. And where is the
margin behind which conflicts and encounters are to be the hot phase of
world war, creepingly or sharply. Who knows?
6) Export and import
Exploitation of developing countries continues due to imposed from outside
division of labour. Production of deep manufacturing is for developed
nations, raw materials and pre-fabricates are to developing ones. Poor
countries could never escape from this cabala unless their people understand
that their vegetating poverty is a foundation for the rich nation prosperity
at enormous extent.
Table 15. Export flow from industrial countries,
1997-1998 (bln. US$/ %)
Export |
TOTAL |
To industrial
countries |
To developing
countries |
From industrial countries |
|
|
|
1997 |
3 678,83 |
2 597,10 |
1 081,73 |
1998 |
3 686,10 |
2 690,40 |
995,70 |
1999 |
3 683,73 |
2 690,60 |
993,13 |
1997 |
100,00% |
70,60% |
29,40% |
1998 |
100,00% |
72,99% |
27,01% |
1999 |
100,00% |
73,04% |
26,96% |
Source: Direction of trade Statistics, June 2000:
IMF, Wash.
We are comparing export of industrial countries with their import.
Table 16. Import flow to industrial countries,
1997-1998 (bln. US$/ %)
Import TOTAL
Import |
TOTAL |
From industrial
countries |
From developing
countries |
To industrial countries |
|
|
|
1997 |
3 711,46 |
2599,30 |
1112,16 |
1998 |
3 802,11 |
2691,60 |
1110,51 |
1999 |
3 970,26 |
2751,10 |
1219,16 |
1997 |
100,00% |
70,03% |
29,97% |
1998 |
100,00% |
70,79% |
29,21% |
1999 |
100,00% |
69,29% |
30,71% |
Source: Direction of trade Statistics, June 2000:
IMF, Wash.
We could get an impression that most of import industrial countries receive
from industrial countries as well. And the same magnitudes of export to
industrial countries come from industrial countries. It is true only if
we forget about physical structure (substance) of import and export and
prices of exported and imported goods.
Industrial countries carry in and bring out mostly finish goods, goods
of well-developed industries. The price structure of import-export mainly
belongs to finish goods, services and hi-tech commodities. The share of
third world climes is falling to raw material, agriculture and primary
industries (for instance, metallurgy). Hence they have price misbalance
of import and export both developed and developing countries confusing
common sense. As a matter of fact main part of economically significant
"substance" for industrial economies come from backward nations.
Supply of it is enormous, so the price (as well as money 'material') is
in hands of rich buyers, while the order of sale-purchase activity is
regulated by World Trade Organisation (WTO) originated from General Agreement
on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). These institutions is possessed by managers
and masters of world capitalism
There is no doubt that power in WTO likewise in IMF, World bank and all
world finances so far belongs to advanced capitalism of USA, Western Europe
and Japan.
To confirm this I offer developing climes export and import data.
Table 17. Export flow from developing countries,
1997-1998 (bln. US$/ %)
Export |
TOTAL |
To industrial
countries |
To developing
countries |
From developing countries |
|
|
|
1997
|
1 831,18 |
1 006,00 |
825,18 |
1998 |
1 750,71 |
1 014,00 |
736,71 |
1999 |
1 853,79 |
1 107,50 |
746,29 |
1997 |
100,00% |
54,94% |
45,06% |
1998 |
100,00% |
57,92% |
42,08% |
1999 |
100,00% |
59,74% |
40,26% |
Source: Direction of trade Statistics, June 2000:
IMF, Wash.
Have a look, more than half of third world countries export goes to industrial
ones. Of course we may assert that it is difficult to distinguish two
third of their export (60%) runs to Asia, more exactly to industrial Asian
powers. The rest of developing world nations has to enjoy very modest
incomes of raw commodity exports, including agricultural products and
fishery goods whose price is incommensurable with goods coming from industrialized
countries. What are the import figures?
Table 18. Import flow to developing countries,
1997-1998 (bln.US$ / %)
Import |
TOTAL |
From industrial
countries |
From developing
countries |
To developing countries |
|
|
|
1997 |
1 929,19 |
1 124,90 |
804,29 |
1998 |
1 817,16 |
1 078,80 |
738,36 |
1999 |
1 821,77 |
1 048,20 |
773,57 |
1997 |
100,00% |
58,31% |
41,69% |
1998 |
100,00% |
59,37% |
40,63% |
1999 |
100,00% |
57,54% |
42,46% |
Source: Direction of trade Statistics, June 2000:
IMF, Wash.
Again we are watching the same picture. The most portion of third world
import had fallen to industrial powers. At the same time the very two
third of import goes to Asian countries where a huge amount of workers'
hands multiply industrial (and post-industrial) might of wealthy countries.
Let us recall, what are the population of developing countries and number
of workforce correspondingly. It will be easy to understand why this trade
between rich and poor countries is unequal.
Table 19. Population and workforce of the whole
planet, 1998 (mln.pers. / %)
|
The World |
Developed
countries |
Developing
countries |
Including
Asia |
Population (mln.) |
5 874,06 |
836,15 |
5 037,90 |
3 158,36 |
Workforce (mln.) |
2 570,09 |
410,06 |
2 160,03 |
1 410,69 |
Distribution of workforce (%) |
100,00% |
15,96% |
84,04% |
54,89% |
The flagrant disproportion in workforce between industrial countries
and less developed ones is found absolutely incomparable with export and
import figures from these two halves of the world. The same inequality
could be found in the price of the worldwide economy GDP. Industrially
developed countries produce 75% of GDP and 25% produce less developed
ones. In other words, 84% of overall labour force produce only 25% of
world general 'domestic' product!
One serious conclusion beside the others comes from what said above: products
and services produced by world economy is quite enough to sustain and
reproduce human life of the entire planet. Herewith standard of life quality
could be provided according the latest standards of industrial countries.
But private property on labour results is guarding beggary!
We may add to this under-utilisation of productive forces in developed
countries, the possibility to equip labourers in poor countries with high
productive machinery and refusal of production cutback practice (for example,
agricultural goods) for keeping acceptable market price, then we should
say that bourgeois civilization exists upon its word. The limits of its
growth are exhausted; it had outlived itself in practical and theoretical
terms. The crush of capitalist formation on the planet is distinctively
visible as long as international division of labours that enslaves nations
and corresponding mechanism and structure of export-import flows continues
to develop.
And this is one more evidence of capitalist civilization death, when one
billion people live decently and the rest five billions (exclusive of
pair percent local fat cats) mostly live poorly and baldly.
It could not be another way. We make it clear by the look to structure
of commodity of less developed countries. We take as an example commodity
export structure of Bolivia for the year 1996.
Table 20. Principal commodities of Bolivian export,
1996 (thousand US$)
|
Ýêñïîðò |
% |
Ðàçíèöà ýêñïîðòà
è èìïîðòà |
Livestock and food |
179 126,0 |
16,48% |
22 520,0 |
Crude materials (technical) except fuel, including |
428 712,0 |
39,44% |
376 724,0 |
oil and petrol products |
47 376,0 |
4,36% |
47 376,0 |
gas |
94 539,0 |
8,70% |
94 539,0 |
Mineral fuel and lubricants |
142 106,0 |
13,07% |
94 127,0 |
Animal and vegetable oil, fats and wax |
40 537,0 |
3,73% |
40 537,0 |
Primary products: |
144 959,0 |
13,34% |
-85 039,0 |
non-ferrous metals, including |
113 854,0 |
10,47% |
113 854,0 |
tin and tin alloys |
101 223,0 |
9,31% |
101 223,0 |
Industrial and transport equipment |
76 728,0 |
7,06% |
-712 047,0 |
Other industrial products |
49 602,0 |
4,56% |
-63 451,0 |
TOTAL (including other goods) |
1 086 945,0 |
100,00% |
-556 106,0 |
Source: South America, Central America and the Caribbean
2000 (Regional Surveys of the World). L., 1999. 8th Edition, p.138.
Farm products, mining industry products and primary industry products
form 86,6% of Bolivian export. Crude materials in total equal 39,4%. That
is export orientation of Latin American country. Resulting balance – difference
of export and import – is negative and it composes -556,1 million dollars.
GDP volume of the year 1996 recalculated in U.S. dollars was equaled 7239,6
mln.dollars. The principal export trade partners of Bolivia are USA, United
Kingdom and Argentina. USA took 21,8% of total export. External debt by
1994 was some 4,11 bln.dollars.
The question is, could Bolivia repay its external (and internal) debts
if the share of material production, as you can see, mainly of raw-material
orientation forms 45% of GDP? The nation has 7,9 mln. person population
and 3,6 mln. workforce for the execution of this fantastic plan. We should
not forget about inevitable presence of transnational corporations that
possessed completely or partly by mining industry together with local
bourgeoisie. As for profit mostly it is brought out to financial markets
of USA and Europe, partly reinvested in development of business and engrossment
of land. Thus Bolivia, its people take risk gradually and definitely loose
its sovereignty. Then the country-debtor will pass to hands of world capital
tycoons.
Here comes another example: Chile as and exporter of products in 1996.
Table 21. Principal export goods of Chile, 1996
(mln.US$)
|
Export |
% |
Difference
of export and import |
Livestock and food |
3 733,6 |
24,23% |
2 707,4 |
Raw and materials (technical) except fuel, including |
3 947,5 |
25,62% |
3 630,3 |
iron ore and scrap metals |
2 278,2 |
14,79% |
|
Chemistry products and chemicals |
545,2 |
3,54% |
-1 414,2 |
Primary products |
5 339,3 |
34,66% |
2 867,4 |
Non-ferrous metals, including: |
4 563,2 |
29,62% |
4 563,2 |
copper |
4 401,0 |
28,57% |
4 401,0 |
Industrial and transport equipment |
372,2 |
2,42% |
-6 775,3 |
Other industrial products |
344,8 |
2,24% |
-1 318,4 |
TOTAL (including other goods) |
15 406,8 |
100,00% |
-1 403,2 |
Source: South America, Central America and the Caribbean
2000 (Regional Surveys of the World). L., 1999. 8th Edition, p.204-205.
Crude materials and farm products form 88% in total export. 30% of them
is falling to copper. Trade balance this year is negative and it equals
-1,4 bln.dollars. GDP volume for 1996 expressed in U.S. money units was
66,5 bln.dollars. Main trade partners were – Japan, USA and Brazil. By
1994 external debt forms 8,9 bln.dollars; by 1998 total external debt
totaled 31,5 bln.dollars. Population was 14,5 mln. people, labor force
was 5,8 mln.
The point is can Chile someday catch up developed countries if the main
export commodities are copper (as pre-fabricate), iron ore and scrap metal
as well as foods and livestock. It is clear that world market price for
this kind of goods is not high. That is why the price of material product
in Chilean GDP structure is about 35%. Negative trade balance for Chile
in recent years is rather normal then rarity. Financial troops of world
capital will keep Chile on a short dog-lead just giving the possibility
to survive on behalf of trading copper, livestock and scrap metal. Otherwise
the country will be sold by auction according the wishes of world monopolies,
owners of business in Chile. That is the peak of sapient and just relations
within capitalist civilization at the highest stage of its development,
at imperialistic stage.
Let me show you one more sample of international division of labour by
capitalist way that indisputably can make backward nations more backward.
So, we analyzing export of Guinea-Bissau, African country.
Table 22. Principal commodities of Guinea-Bissau
export, 1998 (mln. US$)
|
Export |
% |
Difference of export
and import |
Cashew |
22,4 |
83,90% |
|
Fish |
0,5 |
1,87% |
|
Forestry products |
0,5 |
1,87% |
|
Wood products |
0,3 |
1,12% |
|
Cotton |
1,5 |
5,62% |
|
TOTAL (including other products) |
26,7 |
100,00% |
-36,4 |
The basic trade partners of Guinea-Bissau consuming cashew, cotton and
fish are Spain, Portugal and Switzerland. Trade balance is also negative
and equaled -36,4 mln.dollars. GDP was 215,8 mln.dollars, while number
of workforce formed 540 thousand persons. External debt was 953 mln.dollars.
Hence, there is no chance to repay any debt and somehow to reshape structure
of this economy from nuts and cotton to something more high-priced. This
is required for country to have means to invest in life quality, better
education, health care, culture and science. This way African nation could
finally disrupt enslaving division of labour. Otherwise world capitalism
and local fat cats will get all benefits.
Nigeria is another African country. 95% of its export is crude oil. Nigeria
may reckon on livable position on the continent until demand for petrol
exists and price is quite high. However Nigeria completely depends on
such predetermination of its collective destiny – to be a supplier of
oil to world market. Even huge number of population (103 million) and
workforce (30 million) could not give a chance to get off. Whether oil
is out or demand is over then the country is doomed.
Subservient position of Sierra-Leone another African country toward world
capital is also predestined by its export structure as raw material supplier.
Export structure is following: 84,2% makes total quantity mineral resources
of which bauxite is 14,26%, diamonds are 22,19% and ruthenium is 47,78%.
At the same time trade balance is negative 'as a rule' (for 1994 in our
example). Gross domestic product for 1994 formed some 950 mln.dollars,
while the share of material production in GDP was within the limits of
65%. Raw material, even the most precious can not ensure prosperity of
nation with 4,5 million population, since actual resources are not unlimited.
Meanwhile external debt of Sierra-Leone has grown up to 1,1 bln.dollars
by 1998. Hence there is no opportunity to compare diamonds with paper
dollar gold. So world capital gains benefits once again, since its order
is ruthless and irrational exploitation of world resources. Big money
settles down at Bermudas and Cayman islands ("Cayman" sounds
almost like "pocket" in Russian). Unfortunately IMF does not
publish data about treasure islands in its 'IFS' monthly issues. Why it
doesn't?
Nevertheless, if we take structure and proportions of export-import operations
of any developed country we see that: firstly, they are balanced and,
secondly the possibility of complete export or import dependence is absolutely
excluded. The only exception could show Japan, this universal workshop
for high-technology production of bigger volumes (for export), that predetermines
huge amount of import deliveries (crude materials and prefabricates).
Japan is urged to exert all its powers producing for export. To facilitate
its commodity push off cheap yen is required, because enormous financial
means derived from export repeatedly follow the commodities joining another
money assets. Every player intends to take part in currency and stock
exchange gambling at largest world stock market, in USA. That is one more
mine of delayed action under worldwide economy: mythically strong dollar
which is slightly secured by 'economic material' of commodities and assets
together with the highest concentration of it in one sport, exclusive
of Western Europe.
7) Gold of contention
System of IMF administrative and financial mechanisms, system of global
financial parasitic capitalism had appeared as an effect of two opposite
feelings merger. At the beginning faithful love of capital to gold had
dominated. Then it was replaced by resistant hatred, as soon as capital
had reached monopolistic stage of its development and giant bourgeois
empires were formed. Their combat and armed fighting make this hatred
more and more strong.
That is why we should look critically on a history of world economy within
last 150 years from the viewpoint of gold role in making of world exchange
relations, as well as of invention of gold substitutes a little later.
These 'gold substitutes' also reinforced the myth of several currencies
puissance.
Since the middle of 1870-s bank of England established golden standard.
English banknotes had been freely exchanged for gold by fixed rate. By
degrees several countries of Europe, USA and Japan had joined this standard.
International settlements had been required an "anchor" that
would bind all currencies. Gold became the anchor while English pound
got leading currency for collation with "gold price". In this
manner the foundation of international settlements was created. The main
features of it were exchange rates fixed.
In XX century the world entered monopolistic stage of capitalist development.
Scope of money circulation in international settlements increased enormously.
This caused shortage of gold in national central banks for international
payments. Dissatisfaction of formed world and wealth repartition between
different gangs of capital had been expressed by the world war waged at
the beginning of XX (1914). Eventually, larger part of world gold stores
moved to USA, world war was out of here. After the war Great Britain and
other countries tried to recover golden standard and fixed exchange rates,
but nothing was resulted from. USA had grown almost monopolistic owner
of world gold (46% of world stores in 1924 against 23% in 1914).
However exclusive financial position of United States enhanced parasitism
of its economy and got it to crash when growing credit volumes unthinkably
outstripped industrial boom. Stock markets agiotage effected to drastic
increase of stock market price that was not secured by tangible assets.
Little panic was enough to induce overwhelming stock crisis in October
1929. All hopes were broken, even partial golden standard could not work
anymore for exchange relations stability all over the world.
Fluent exchange of English pound to gold was ceased in 1931. International
monetary system wasn't able to recover after overall crash for several
years. By the year of 1933 35 currencies are devaluated already on average
40-60%. In 1934 devaluation of dollar took place from 20 dollar to 35
dollar per troy ounce (31,1 grams) of gold, since gold is still remains
the main liquid commodity of international money settlements. Currency
blocks of different countries created (in accordance with interests of
certain exchanges group) before the war for currency transactions stability
also could not tackle the problems of state budget deficits, negative
trade balances even in bigger countries. Cruel currency war forewent the
Second World War. By the year of 1936 bits and pieces of golden standard
were completely liquidated.
During the Second World War there were exchange restriction in all countries.
Nevertheless, gold of the world was flowing firmly to American banks,
afar from warfare in Europe. Anyway, in 1944 leaders of Western Europe
and USA got together in Bretton-Woods to negotiate about new "American"
game rules for world exchange market: 1) gold exchange standard as a guiding
exchange, 2) fixed exchange rates with regulation of exchange adjustment
and convertibility, 3) establishment of international exchange system.
Newly founded International Monetary Fund (IMF) was to manage world exchange
economy with a help of the World Bank. Headquarter or directorate of IMF
is placed in Washington.
So, by the year 1948 24 billion dollars (or 68,5%) of 35 billion world
gold stores were gained by the USA, 1,6 – by the Great Britain, 1,5 –
by France, Italy, West Germany and Benelux countries altogether. Golden
standard was now at hands of new empire, USA, instead of United Kingdom
and was equaled 35 dollars per troy ounce. The axis of world exchange
reserves remains gold, but the place of chief exchange was occupied by
U.S. dollar. All the other exchange rates were now set only via dollar.
United States as heiress of British Empire was being filled magnitude
like new "chieftain of the world" and waged one by one several
wars. First war was in Korea, then in Indochina (Vietnam). War business
as usual is closely related with huge outlays of money. Hence, since 1949
deficit of payment balance was getting higher and higher up to the beginning
of 1970-s.
The rules set by IMF required all country-members to support steady parities
of its currencies to gold or to dollar through fixed gold price expressed
in dollar. Nevertheless imperial exchange had burst. So in 1947-1960 the
share of dollars in IMF credits formed 87,6%, then in 1961-1971 it has
fell down to 25%. In 1960 acute flash of distrust to dollar was observed
that caused sharp increase of private demand for gold. Price of gold in
London rose up to 41-42 dollar per ounce. They had managed to deal with
gold rush only by selling 1000 tons of gold from federal reserve of the
United States.
Right after this incident "golden pool" was established by the
USA initiative. It was a special international institution that was in
operate from fall of 1961 to march of 1968 and aimed at supporting stability
of market gold price at level close to official price of 35 dollar per
ounce by coordinated activities at London market. Share of USA in the
«pool» formed 50%, while the rest 50% of expenditures were carried by
'Atlantic partners' of USA (central banks of West Germany, France, Switzerland,
Great Britain, Netherlands, Italy and Belgium). Dollar position had weakened
by growing quickness, therefore demand for gold increased essentially,
then "pool" was urged to sell metal systematically from governmental
reserves of country-members just to prevent the rise of gold market price.
Since the middle of 1967 France refused to take part in further operations
of this institution. During 1967-1968 crisis of two main currencies of
the "pool" aggravated, this crisis together with increasing
demand for gold (they had to sell 3000 tons of gold within 4 months) effected
to breakdown of "golden pool". By March of 1968 special agreement
was made about "double-level" gold market.
Meanwhile United States exchange is getting more and more vulnerable through
gold. That is why IMF which is under full control of the USA was aspiring
to make gold-producing countries especially South Africa (3/4 of the total
mining) to forward the most of current production to market to hold gold
price, so to say – dollar. Demand for gold got lower by artificial methods
of IMF, that is by actual prohibition for central banks to buy gold at
open market including newly mined one from countries-producers. By this
manner IMF, USA with its more exactly, were trying to diminish the role
of gold in international exchange relations and insure gradual implementation
of special drawing right in International Monetary Fund known as SDR.
Since January of 1970 credit surrogates of SDR were included in currency
reserves of IMF. In August of 1971 the USA annulled exchange dollar to
gold for foreign central banks. At the same year certain capitalist countries
forced into application free "floating" of currencies, when
there is no fixed exchange rates and no central banks obligations to carry
on currency intervention to support exchange rate. During 1970-1973 they
have started with experimental distribution of SDR to IMF members (9,5
billion SDR). At this point SDR was mechanically equaled to gold. SDR
was balanced to 0,888 grams of gold. By the moment of its "going
out" in 1973 and after regular devaluation SDR had "valued"
as 1,20635 dollar. However, in 1974 gold content of SDR was cancelled.
Up to this moment the price of gold ounce had jumped several times"
38 dollars in January 1971, 186 dollar in December 1974, even 200 dollar
by certain deals. In 1970-s dollar faced with possibility of losing its
kinglike position amidst currencies. On the 18th of December 1971 dollar
devaluation by 8%had happens there. On the 13th of February 1973 next
dollar devaluation by 10%was there. Gold was getting up insistently. So,
average year price of gold in 1977 was 147,7 dollar, in 1978 –193,2 dollar,
in 1979 – 306,7 dollar, in 1980 – 612,6 dollar per troy ounce.
The USA was seeking for salvation of its currency from crush by using
newly invented SDR. Since 1973 dollar rate has been expressing in SDR.
From July 1974 after cancellation of SDR gold equivalent "estimating
scale" of SDR content was set up there. It was formed by the following
way. The currencies of 16 countries selected by IMF are evaluated by its
market ratio to U.S. dollar, then its dollar equivalents are summed to
give an SDR 'rate' in dollar terms. After that they set up exchange rates
of SDR in other currencies. «The rate» of SDR (a monetary substance which
has no its own value) is fixed daily since July of 1974. But the price
of gold is growing in any case. IMF undertook new steps for saving 'beggar'
dollar.
In January 1976 in Kingston (Jamaica) during the session of IMF Temporary
committee corresponding amendments to IMF Charter were agreed, and they
came into force since the 1st of April 1978. Amendments had foreseen:
1) elimination of gold from settlements between IMF and its members, 2)
withdrawal of its official price and refusal of currency rate setting
up based of gold parity, 3) IMF member-countries are given the right to
operations with gold by market price. Gold which was a dollar 'heel of
Achilles' had been completely abolished from massive international settlements
inside IMF countries as well as from currency evaluation mechanism. Moreover,
as early as 30th of August 1975 "ten group" countries (USA,
UK, France, West Germany, Japan, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands, Sweden,
Canada) made an agreement (valid up to the 31st of January 1978). This
agreement envisaged refusal of gold fixed price support as well as operations
with gold from their official reserves given total quantity of gold in
reserves of these countries and IMF is permanent. In other words, it is
allowed for main players of world exchange market to sell only newly mined
gold while governmental reserves remain untouched.
Thus U.S. dollar had secured its "power" from the vicious relation
with price-galloping gold. «American IMF» offered SDR instead of gold,
a unique mean for overall finance mystification. Why did it happen this
way? It was done due to formula of SDR calculation. So:
From 1974 to 1980 currencies of 16 countries had being taken for the calculation
of SDR formula according the scheme "15 to 1", where "1"
is dollar. The formula is following:
where
Ñ1 – «estimating» component of certain currency inside SDR
À1 – rate of currency to U.S. dollar
Â1 – specific gravity of the currency in SDR 'basket'
Kî – the former 'value' of SDR
where
D1 – dollar equivalent in the 'currency ¹ 1'.
In the period from 1974 to 1980 number of such currencies was 16. All
16 currencies, more specifically its 'dollar equivalents' we are summing
for the calculation of new unit valut of SDR. The resulting formula for
SDR calculation will be as follows:
We have got Ên, or new figure of SDR which is not influenced by any exchange
to dollar rate or "dollar to dollar" rate, as it seen from calculations.
Only specific gravity of certain currency (one of fifteen) and "previous
value" of SDR may effect on "SDR rate". «Previous» value
and subsequent one as a rule depend on specific magnitudes of currencies
in the "basket" set up by IMF, and nothing more can effect on
it. So the «initial» SDR price equal 1,20635 dollar (1973) may be considered
as «original» and every time it is «recalculated» dependently of IMF viewpoint.
IMF 'viewpoint' is based on specific gravity of a country in world export
of which IMF appoints latest exchange rates.
In other words nothing can influence on SDR "value" calculation
except IMF directives, which are more or less voluntary in setting up
the share of certain currency in SDR "basket". If we go back
to export indicators, IMF suppose to set the share of certain exchange
within the SDR "basket" in accordance with export volumes of
certain country. But this way of calculation is quite doubtful. The question
is why they should not take into account import figures of a country involved
in SDR determination. For instance import of USA since 1969 almost every
year exceed export. It means that America has stable negative payment
balance of external trade (except 1973 and 1975). For the last 32 years
(from 1969 to 2000) total payment balance deficit in current prices formed
more than 1,8 trillion dollars! What are the backgrounds for the USA to
anticipate the highest quota in world money determination – SDR – which
are just another name (or alter ego) of dollar? Much more likely there
is the only precondition – they're reckoning on military power, army and
weapons dispersed all over the world as dollar-SDR security.
Expanding parasitism of American imperial economy works as permanent source
of menace for its leading position in world finance. According the results
of SDR calculation for the period 1974-1980, it got obvious that number
of currencies used in formula should be reduces substantially. On the
1st of January of 1981 SDR had been calculating on basis of 5 currencies
(by formula "4 to 1"), since in total evaluations share of dollar
is SDR "basket" was only 33%. The portion of U.S. dollar in
the "basket" had increased at once from 33% to 42%.
The meaning of ongoing action is as simple as primitive. In 1974 16 exchanges
represent 143 exchanges of country-members, while in 1981 five currencies
replace 143. If to say more exactly: the "fifth" (U.S. dollar)
represent "four" currencies (pound, Deutsche mark, yen, French
frank) before the mighty lord of world finance – SDR. All the rest currencies
are equaled either to "five" or to SDR. Any edge you approach
you ought to stick with dollar. Dollar got its power again for some period
of time as well as assurance in its unpunished parasitism on world economy.
Breakdown of Eastern block added energy to its power. Square of "dollar
zone surface" had expanded for many million kilometers. All the former
countries of "socialism" joined the IMF and took enslaving obligation
of refusal exchange restrictions without accommodation by Fund. However,
"free" resources of former socialist countries and corruptibility
of bureaucrats are not limitless. The scrubs of national bourgeoisie also
had grown and it is opposing dictates of yesterday empire. Alongside with
that imperial habits of the United States had required to spend more and
more money by non-productive way, that is for servicing their interests
and investments of capital all over the world including increasing outlays
on defense and government apparatus. Once again the share of USA in SDR
"basket", namely in controlling interest of world finance started
to look down.
Table 23. Dynamics of exchange shares in SDR "basket",
1981-2001 (%)
|
1981 |
1986 |
1991 |
1996 |
1999 |
2001 |
U.S. Dollar |
42% |
42% |
40% |
39% |
39% |
45% |
Deutsche mark / Euro since 1999 |
19% |
19% |
21% |
21% |
32% |
29% |
Yen |
13% |
15% |
17% |
18% |
18% |
15% |
French frank |
13% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
0% |
0% |
U.K. pound |
13% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
Since 1999 Deutsche mark (21%) and French frank (11%) are summing together
forming the share of Euro (32%). As a matter of fact inside the 'basket'
there is one more filter, in which currencies of 12 Euro-zone countries
are presented by only two currencies. The 1999 war in Yugoslavia and huge
military outlays carried by NATO country-members had decreased seriously
share of Europe (Euro) in SDR by 2001. On the contrary U.S. dollar gets
in 'SDR project' with its 45%. And it has no fear about incredible payment
balance deficit of 254 bln.dollars in 1999.
Let us see dynamics of IMF statistic data. Thus from 1998 to 2000 the
number of quotas in IMF which may influence on possibility of decision-making
rise from 149 billions SDR to 215 billions. At that number of USA votes
changed from 17,72% to 17,22%. Together with this 'small savers' quota
of "IMF Company" had eroded. Quantity of SDR in the hands of
USA increased from 37% to 43%. Only USA got total amount of gold untouched.
Western European countries had lost 35,3 mln. troy ounces while developing
ones had said goodbye to 6,7 mln. troy ounces. Totally world exchange
reserves thinned down by 1342 tons of gold. The USA is not burden itself
anymore by storing foreign currency. Its share in the U.S. reserves had
diminished during even these two years from 2,54% (1998) to 1,96% (2000).
Meanwhile Western Europe and Japan are urged to store both European monetary
units and dollars (39,13% of world reserves, or 622 bln.dollars in 2000),
selling and purchasing them by the IMF ('dollar') requests, satisfying
insatiable hunger of U.S. parasitic economy. Less developed nations beside
this must keep their reserves in dollars and in other "hard"
currencies, paying for import as well as interest charges, advances and
debts. So their part in world reserves forms 55,86% or 888,2 bln.dollars
Thus, USA has an extra reserve of convertible exchange that is in exchange
belonging to "SDR basket" equaled to 1,5 trillion dollars. Let
me remind that none has a right to put in exchange restrictions without
Fund permission, according the obligation published beginning 1980 and
signed already by 149 IMF-members. USA continues selling papers which
actual value permanently slowing down. Thereat it is deadly afraid of
free trade of gold. Hence IMF (USA) had arranged probable appear of gold
at market by numerous conditions and restrictions. Gold as some last argument
(besides oil) in a dispute of world economy and "paper" dollar
could completely undermine false American power. The situation for millions
investors to take back their money from banks and different U.S. stocks
is quite unbelievable, since IMF (USA) dominates in world finance flows,
given military dictatorship of dollar and overwhelming development of
credit system. By the term "take back" money I mean situation
when all payees want to give back some tangible assets like gold or any
commodity, but not another 'real papers'. In this case whether it will
happen immediately USA or whatever government would not deal with impossibility
to cover the needs of all bearers of 'bills'.
By the way, IMF accommodates with loans to developing countries expressed
in SDR, that is more costly 'dollars' (in average 1,3 times higher than
'normal dollar'). Nobody of developed countries borrows money in SDR.
Meanwhile poor countries are indebted themselves by this paper gold in
49,9 billion SDR or 65,8 bln.dollars by the year 2000.
The danger lies in new rules of IMF. According these regulations all
exchanges equal to SDR like to "anchor", while dollar equaling
to SDR as to "exchange reserve". Meanwhile "reserve"
is found itself as empty one; it is not related with some matter except
"paper" of five countries (called national money). Whimsicality
of situation is in the fact that calculating unit suddenly became a carrier
of value. SDR is some sort of 'negotiated money' that do not related with
commodity world directly but "by agreement" with top management
of IMF. I repeat once again that money has no inherent value. They are
only commodity shadows, they mediate exchange of commodity by commodity.
There is no reason to endue money with its own commodity nature. It is
metaphysics or some kind of religion known from Karl Marx as "money
fetishism". Money is commodity as soon as it related with commodities
themselves. As a matter of fact the sum of prices of any economy should
be equaled to quantity of [national] money in circulation. SDR when being
regarded like world money must give us an idea about the sum of commodities
(and services) prices that produced by world economy, at least by those
included in IMF-members. Instead of it SDR turns into some private commerce
of American dollar and three more currencies (Euro, pound, yen), which
as it looks like for them represent the price sum of all goods (and services)
produced normally within certain working period.
Dollar during the last decades had created such heartful roulades of exchanges
between each other that (by opinion of bourgeois economists) use up the
whole variety of commodity production and turnover in world economy. In
other terms sales and purchases of money material within the framework
of few exchange pairs (dollar/Euro, dollar/pound, dollar/yen, Euro/pound
etc.) substitute the overall production and interchange. Isn't it nonsense?
In accordance with hybrid SDR created by IMF and its specific relations
with dollar and the rest (now three) exchanges we may assert that dollar,
Euro, yen and pound – are one and the same exchange of empire-parasite
which had engulfed and melted all the other currencies long ago. Anytime
it breaks surface of world finance ocean anywhere by the name of "new
exchange" for refreshing on behalf of exchanges that are not belong
to "closes circle" of SDR-dollar. They had become 'visibly'
independent from each other, so it is difficult to distinct the falling
of one in the increasing of another. This is an intimate motion inside
communicating bottles of a single parasitic empire exchange of developed
countries. These are waves in one and the same "ocean", and
nothing more. On the chart below you can see such fluctuations in reversed
phases relatively each other these two strange group of currencies: one
is dollar, another is mark, pound, yen, frank got together (conventionally
named as "eurodollar").
Figure 1. Dollar fluctuations “within the limits
of SDR”, 1981-2001.
Due to concentration of capital the calculation of SDR "value"
within the last twenty-eight years has simplified from 16 to 5 exchanges,
and now from five to four ones. Next step of this motion is supposed to
be full dictate of dollar through IMF and NATO over planetary economy.
But we may consider this economy as military-centralized rather than market
economy, totally monopolistic economy (as it was in former USSR). The
single state monopoly was a formal 'casus belli' for bourgeois countries
to fight with USSR and East block of state socialism. And now they move
towards Big-Brother-like State with no doubt.
Eternity of parasitic living of "dollar" is secured on one side
by rigid regulations set by IMF, by plurality of its masks (Euro, pound,
yen) and on another side by psychological power of money fetishism, by
blind faith in "dollar" like some absolute. For faith not to
thin it is regularly support by military activity – by invasions, by clashes
and wars. Wars bring appearance of new military bases possessed by Dollar
Empire, which serve sufficient security of universal dollar financial
"assets".
Crisis of parasitic economy is permanently growing. It takes more and
more money to maintain its power especially faith in it, faith in a main
symbol of its puissance – dollar. A little panic will be enough (as it
has been seen in September 2001) to undermine even "fourfold"
strength of dollar and SDR.
Let's recall once more, the causes of "myth" breakdown are:
weakening of USA market position by some commodity groups, growth of economy
parasitism (reducing of material production share in GDP, that leads to
excess of import over export), building up of military expenditures as
well as very expensive military actions abroad. USA instead of usual economic
relations can offer financial colonialism secured by military presence
in all regions.
Upturn of military-industrial complex (MIC) in economic and physical terms
is squeezing out all this "military commodity mass" outward,
to other countries and continents. Sales of weapons and military services
worsen economy of a country-purchaser, wearying economy by military-governmental
parasitism. It gives an illusion of runup in economy war-oriented but
not for a long period of time. More and more climes are trying to follow
the American economy parasitism where specific gravity of material production
(e.g. in employment and in GDP structure) steadily going down. This way
of development causes recessionary events in economy, which result in
political paranoia ideas like expansion of NATO or 'star wars'. Appearance
of such ideas is closely connected with interests of bigger military-industrial
corporations, i.e. with increasing increment of unsecured outlays. That's
what I call economic parasitism.
The emergence of different concepts like "NATO expansion" of
"struggle with international terrorism" and whole series of
wars devoted to this within last ten years are evidences of the most cruel
crisis of world bourgeois economy that had reached its final allowed entries
of parasitism. There is no place to develop extensively except on behalf
of territories and labour force of rivals. Hence, the war is required
again, isn't it? Is there any way to get out of crisis? Otherwise the
war is always hanging around.
Section II>>
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Bradbury A. The
Ring of Revolution. Saint-Petersburg: Icy Island, 2002, 240p.
The first part of the book is a program
of information actions for those who name themselves as left radicals
of different kind, or as adherents of workers and communist movement,
provided that we live in the XXI century. The second part is an
example of utilisation Revolition Ring principles. It is an example
of intent analysis of world economy through the weakness of U.S.dollar
and world 'household' built on its basis.
Section
II >>
Author provide us with this texts for free usage
at out site. Critical comments and proposals
you may send to the postal address in St.Petersburt, Russia: postal
Index 190000, p/box 280, attn Chernishev V.M. or to Bryansk, postal
index - 241013, 25, Klintsovskaya street, Zhmurkina L.A.
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